My book TECHNOLOGY TSUNAMI ALERT was published worldwide in December 2020

FUT2.5 – My book TECHNOLOGY TSUNAMI ALERT was published worldwide in December 2020

My book has been written to give lay people the very best insight into Futurism and the broadest possible perspective of just how many disruptive technologies there are.

Futurism is the art/science of evaluating actual and emerging trends in all spheres of life, including the disruptive consequences of the convergence of countless technologies and trends, for the next 10, 20, even 30 years, evaluating all the risks and opportunities, and then choosing a better future.

Herewith the unedited versions of my introductory paragraphs

TECHNOLOGY TSUNAMI ALERT

Protect your children, family and business

PROLOGUE/PRELUDE

My interest in Futurism began soon after Nokia, Eriksson and Kodak collapsed.  Nokia and Eriksson failed mainly because they did not adopt bigger glass screens.  Kodak invented the digital camera but stuck with film too long.  Fortunately, I was not invested in these companies, but I had to ask myself “if such big companies can fail so quickly due to changes in technology, how do we avoid the losers and pick the investment winners of the future”.  I concluded that successful investors had to have some idea of how the economic and industrial playing field is changing if they were to have any chance of choosing “safer” investment strategies.  More important, one had to invest in new technology leaders, not followers.

I started by subscribing to a futurism publication, reading numerous futurism books and perusing countless articles on the internet.  In addition, I attended numerous talks, including some from Singularity University of California, which promotes futurism, and endlessly watched YouTube clips and other recorded talks on a wide range of topics.  Fortunately, I found it all very fascinating and became totally immersed in this emerging “wonder-world”.  More important, I got a glimpse of just how rapid, comprehensive and disruptive the transition was going to be.  Most important, I realised that understanding this “in time” could help one take pre-emptive action to mitigate the disruption.  It was then that I got a growing urge to share it with others.

What was most fascinating was the all-encompassing breadth and depth of the looming disruption to our lives, and the rate of change, which is accelerating to the point where we will struggle to keep up in the next decade. While it may seem frightening, because people often focus on the overhyped negatives like the threat of rising unemployment, it is more likely to be extremely positive in the longer run.  Regrettably, any such major transitions never happen without some pain in the shorter term.  The real question that will emerge from self-reflection after reading this book is, “are you going to be one of those who prosper because you embraced change, or are you going to be disadvantaged because you were reluctant to do so”?

It is worth noting that there was no such thing as a Futurism degree, possibly because of the breadth of the topic.  This is why Peter Diamandis, Ray Kurzweil and a few others, started Singularity University (SU) in 2008, which probably only really gained traction after about 2010.  Because there is no such thing as a degree in futurism, they thought they would start a think tank that offered insights and “post graduate” courses to business executives and the like.  However, it should not be thought of as a conventional university in that it is also focussed on promoting Futurism, scientific progress and exponential technologies around the world.  It is a truly amazing organization.  Inter alia, many of the SU scientists/specialists tour the world delivering topical talks during a mostly 2-day forum that is either open to the public or a particular industry.  The exclusive aim of these talks is to spread the word around the world, promote broader adoption of technology and accelerate that adoption.  It also seems to have become a source of technology start-ups and a business incubator.

However, I think in the future, we may well see a “Futurism” component added to university studies and companies will in future have a Chief Futurism Executive Officer who will be tasked with anticipating change in the markets and driving change within the organisation.

TOPIC, SCOPE and NICHE!

Most people active in the Futurism/Futurology space have specialised and are consulting in, or written a book about, a “niche”.  To my knowledge, there are no books that try to “cover it all”, while spelling out the disruption in such depth.  Accordingly, I tried to take an all-encompassing broad conceptual approach, failing which I run the risk that this book could be out of date by the time you read it because technology is changing so fast.  This will give you an overview of future change, rather than make you any sort of expert.

TARGET MARKET!

Although some “post” millennials have read selected chapters and found them “really fascinating”, this book is aimed at parents and grandparents as many of the youth already “get it”, if not in such detail, whereas the rest of us are playing catch-up.  As parents and grandparents, we are the ones who have to look to the future to make the correct strategic decisions to shape and optimise our children and grand-children’s potential.  This book will also help us appear a bit less backward when talking to our children and grandchildren, all the while revealing just how amazing our future will be.

INTRODUCTION

Change is now accelerating so rapidly that the experts estimate the world will probably see more change in the next 20 years than we saw in the past 2000 years, and I believe it.  The most important concepts to take away from this is “absolutely everything” in our lives is going to change so radically by 2030-2035, that you will hardly recognise our world.

Futurism is the art/science of evaluating actual and emerging trends in all spheres of life, including the disruptive consequences of the convergence of countless technologies and trends, for the next 10, 20, even 30 years, evaluating all the risks and opportunities, and then choosing a better future.

However, it is important to note that most “foreseen” changes frequently beget countless “unforeseen” changes, such as that Digital Phones morphed into infinitely versatile Smart Phones that put the world in your pocket.  Therefore, Futurism not only about being prepared for the future, but also about being willing to adapt whenever it throws you a curved ball.

Ideally everyone needs to urgently embrace Futurism as you need to understand the impact accelerating change, disruptive technologies and other trends will have on your Children, Family, Lifestyle, Business, Customers, Wealth, Society and Country.  The winners of the future will be those who choose to embrace change and adopt a new approach to life now, or by the latest 2025.  I picked that date because 2030 could be too late.  Regardless of the date, the longer we wait, the greater the risk that our future could be mediocre or even relatively regressive.

This book is about the future, so please do not relate the revelations in this book to where we are now.  Rather keep imagining where we are most likely going to be in a decade, because the purpose of this book is to show you what our world may look like in 2030-2035, inter alia:

  • To convey just how unbelievably rapidly the future is going to change, how all-encompassing that change will be and how unimaginably disruptive it will be to everything you know and hold dear;
  • To convey concepts, not details. Concepts create the life changing picture, whereas details can distract from that message, so please do not dwell on the details as these keep changing;
  • Not to give you all the answers, but to give you a broad overview and bring about a realisation of just how radical the breadth and rate of change will be;
  • Not to tell you what to do, but to reveal some of the tools you will need cope with the disruption. NB! It will disrupt your life far sooner than you think;
  • To get you to say – “my life, children, family and business will benefit if I understand this space better” and get you to actively engage in or delve deeper into this topic;
  • To bring about the realisation that Futurism is very interesting and exciting. However, please remember that Futurism is about probabilities.  It may not be right on everything, but it will be right on almost everything.  It may not get the timing exactly right, but it will be close and will probably happen sooner;
  • To get you to start Googling and YouTubing and start your own journey of discovery, since there is far more convincing at a personalised level.

There are a few problems with tackling such a broad and complex topic in a single book, because:

  • Pursuing a topic this broad is complicated by the fact that breakthroughs are happening daily, which means a cut-off had to happen at some point, where-after the publication process started;
  • The scope of this book is so broad, that it is not possible to cover all the technological breakthroughs that are happening around the world today and certainly not in any detail. Therefore, you will no doubt think of things you feel I should have included in this book, but do not let that distract you from the overall message;
  • Disruption is caused by the convergence of “multiple” technologies, which means I end up with a “chicken and egg” situation, in that terms and concepts need to be introduced before they are explored in greater depth in later chapters. Therefore, I recommend that you first skip through the chapter headings in the table of contents, so that you get a sense of the scope of this book and know that some of the terms and concepts, like Blockchain, will become clearer as you progress through the book.  I have also provided a list of definitions, or should I say explained some terms, at the back;
  • Any technology has both upside and downside. I had to choose which side to go with.  I chose to focus on the upside, because together we can use technology to “choose a better future”, while sidestepping or managing the darker downside;
  • I chose a sequence of introduction of topics that would lay sufficient foundation for subsequent topics and keep you interested. Because of this and my “Chicken and egg” dilemma”, there is sometimes an unavoidable duplication of concepts, which I tried to keep to a minimum.

You may already have some or considerable familiarity with one or two of the future developments covered in this book, but I am confident that you will find far more that you do not know, than that which you do.

I started researching this topic in 2012, started the book late in 2018 and finished it early 2019.  Allowing for the time taken from editing to publication, which usually takes up to 12 months and could take me into early 2020, quite a bit may have changed because technology is changing so fast.  However, that would mostly be in the detail rather than the broad concepts.

I tried to keep the paragraphs and chapters short, for quick and easy reading, which meant I had to split a few very diverse topics across two or more chapters.  For example: Medicine has probably embraced Futurism more than any other discipline, in that it has embraced multiple disruptive technologies in every discipline and aspect of medical care.  Although many other industries have also embraced Futurism to a greater of lesser extent, I have chosen to elaborate on Medicine in particular, since we all have a considerable vested interest in it.  I have split this across 4 chapters.

Throughout, I have mostly chosen to write the Technology words as Proper, with the first letter capitalised, to emphasise these.

The first chapter provides an overview of some of the key concepts, which are then discussed in greater detail in subsequent chapters.

Extract from TECNOLOGY TSUNAMI ALERT 3 Chapt

Eelco Lodewijks

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